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HYPE Forms Rounding Top as Price Pressure Builds Nearing Key Breakdown
HYPE approaches a key neckline after forming a broad rounding top that signals weakening buyer momentum.
Derivatives data shows declining volume and dominant long liquidations, reflecting sustained sell-side strength.
Price sits near $29.69 as traders monitor whether neckline pressure triggers a move toward lower support zones.
Hyperliquid HYPE appears to be entering a critical phase as price compression intensifies near a major technical support area. Market behavior shows declining momentum while traders react cautiously to recent structural shifts.
Rounding Top Formation Gains Structure
Hyperliquid HYPE displays a clear rounding top pattern that has matured over several months. The curve shows a transition from strong upward expansion into controlled distribution, with price now trading near a key neckline. The current market value sits around $29.69 after a 24-hour decline of 3.73%.
A recent chart shared by Ali (@ali_charts) outlines the broad curvature that began forming after HYPE’s sharp early-cycle surge. The pattern shows progressively weaker highs across late summer and early autumn, suggesting that buyers struggled to maintain upward momentum. This curvature developed gradually, signaling seller strength returning to the market.
Source: X
Price now sits directly on a neckline near the low-$31 region, which has acted as the primary support zone through multiple tests. Repeated interaction with this level reduces its reliability as long-term support. If the neckline breaks, historical structure points toward lower levels connected to previous pivot zones.
Projected Breakdown Path and Target Zones
The chart projection shared in the tweet presents dotted breakdown paths showing potential lower targets between $20 and $16. These mapped levels follow the measured move technique typically associated with rounding top structures. The estimation aligns with the amplitude between the pattern’s peak and neckline.
A multi-stage decline appears possible based on the projected stair-step structure. Price could pause at interim demand pockets before extending lower. This type of descent often forms when market participants unwind positions across several zones. The $16 area reflects the full depth of the pattern’s expansion phase and aligns with earlier trading clusters.
Still, the structure represents probability rather than certainty. A failed breakdown could emerge if buyers reclaim the descending arc with strong volume. However, momentum trends continue to point toward sustained pressure. The price reaction near the neckline will determine the next major directional phase.
Derivatives Data Adds Bearish Weight
The derivatives dashboard strengthens the bearish structural case. A sharp 26.28% drop in trading volume to $984.15M indicates reduced participation during market stress. Combined with nearly unchanged open interest, this suggests traders are holding positions rather than entering new ones.
The aggregated long/short ratio of 0.8382 shows short dominance across the market. Meanwhile, liquidation data reveals repeated long-side failures, with $4.19M in long liquidations over 24 hours compared to only $33.23K in short liquidations. This pattern reflects failed attempts to support price during intraday rallies.
Across major exchanges, the flow structure tilts toward further downside, even as select top traders remain aggressively long. This divergence often occurs ahead of high-volatility moves, adding attention to the neckline test developing on the chart.
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