TRUMP Price Prediction: $2000 check triggers buying spree, monthly increase of 24%, reaching $15

As President Trump’s approval ratings rise, the TRUMP meme coin price continues to climb, with a nearly 24% increase this month. On-chain data shows that whales are making large purchases. Trump’s latest proposal to distribute $2000 checks to Americans using tariff revenue has sparked renewed enthusiasm. Technically, the daily chart indicates that TRUMP has broken out of a descending wedge, with analysts predicting a target of $15, representing a 101% increase.

Whales Sweep $675 Million Driving TRUMP Price Prediction

(Source: Official Trump)

With positive momentum accelerating, a large influx of investors is entering TRUMP meme coin, and market sentiment regarding a government shutdown is increasingly optimistic. CryptoQuant data shows whales are making significant bets in both spot and futures markets, possibly expecting the U.S. government shutdown issue to be resolved. This institutional-level buying volume indicates TRUMP has shifted from mere meme speculation to a politically supported speculative asset.

Trading activity remains active, with a volume reaching $675 million, nearly half of the token’s circulating supply. This trading volume is remarkably high, indicating a rare level of market activity. When daily trading volume approaches or exceeds 50% of circulating market cap, it often signifies heavy chip movement and a market undergoing intense supply-demand reorganization. Such high turnover could result from retail speculation or large players building or liquidating positions.

From an on-chain perspective, the dual bets in spot and futures markets by whales demonstrate strong confidence in TRUMP’s price forecast. Spot buying indicates long-term holding intent, while bullish futures positions offer leveraged profit opportunities. This combined strategy is typical of professional traders who are highly optimistic about an asset.

The expectation that the U.S. government shutdown will be resolved provides a fundamental catalyst supporting TRUMP’s price forecast. The Senate has passed a funding bill, and if the House approves and Trump signs it, the government will reopen within the week. This political victory could be interpreted by the market as an increase in Trump’s political influence, further boosting meme coin prices associated with him. Meme coin prices largely depend on narratives and sentiment, and a government reopening would serve as a strong positive story.

Key Whale Buying Data

Daily Trading Volume: $675 million (about 50% of circulating market cap)

Market Structure: Dual bets in spot and futures markets, indicating institutional participation

Buying Motivation: Expectation of government shutdown resolution, increased Trump political influence

Sentiment Indicator: Momentum accelerating, market optimism rising

$2000 Checks Proposal Sparks New Wave of Enthusiasm

Adding to the bullish outlook, Trump’s recent proposal to use tariff revenue to send $2000 checks to Americans has ignited fresh enthusiasm, potentially laying the groundwork for further upward movement in TRUMP’s price forecast. Although not yet legislated, this policy proposal has sparked widespread discussion on social media and news outlets. For investors holding TRUMP meme coins, any positive news related to Trump can serve as a price catalyst.

The $2000 check proposal holds significant political and economic implications. Politically, it is a strategy for Trump to garner voter support, similar to stimulus checks during the pandemic. If enacted, it could significantly boost Trump’s popularity. Economically, large-scale cash disbursements would increase market liquidity, with some funds flowing into risk assets, including cryptocurrencies and meme coins.

For TRUMP meme coin, this proposal offers dual benefits. First, the policy enhances Trump’s political image and brand value. Second, if the checks are distributed, some recipients might allocate part of their funds into TRUMP tokens, creating direct buying demand. While this direct link is hard to quantify, in meme coin speculation, narrative and sentiment often outweigh rational economic analysis.

The combination of Trump branding and cryptocurrency reached new heights in 2025. According to the Financial Times, the Trump family earned over $1 billion annually from crypto-related ventures, including about $427 million from TRUMP and MELANIA meme coins. This commercial success continues to generate media attention and interest. Every new policy proposal or political move by Trump can trigger a spillover effect on TRUMP tokens.

Breakout from Descending Wedge and $15 Target Feasibility

(Source: Trading View)

The daily chart shows TRUMP has broken out of a descending wedge, indicating a potential trend reversal. A descending wedge is a classic bullish reversal pattern, often appearing at the end of a downtrend. When price breaks above the upper boundary, it typically signals the end of the downtrend and the start of a new upward move. After retesting and holding the $7 support level, the token surged to $9.5, making this a critical resistance level to watch.

Why is the $7 support so important? It is the retest point after the wedge breakout and a previous area of high trading volume. Confirming support here validates the breakout. In technical analysis, a successful breakout often requires a retest, and if the price bounces off support and moves higher again, the breakout’s reliability increases. TRUMP’s recent price action reflects strong bullish control.

This zone coincides with the 200-day moving average, so a decisive break above could trigger a strong rally. The 200 MA is one of the most significant long-term trend indicators; trading above it suggests a long-term uptrend, below indicates a downtrend. The confluence of $9.5 and the 200 MA makes this resistance level doubly significant. Breaking through could confirm a trend reversal.

The target is $15, which would represent a 101% increase if the bullish momentum continues. This target is based on the measurement rule of the wedge pattern: the projected move equals the height of the widest part of the wedge after breakout. From a technical standpoint, $15 is a conservative estimate; if momentum is strong after breakout, actual prices could surpass this level.

RSI remains above its signal line, indicating buyers still hold the advantage. As long as TRUMP stays above $7, the upward trend remains valid. The RSI being above its moving average is a bullish sign, showing increasing price momentum rather than waning. This technical setup supports the short-term bullish forecast for TRUMP.

Key Technical Levels for TRUMP

Current Support: $7 (retest after wedge breakout, 200 MA support)

Immediate Resistance: $9.5 (confluence with 200 MA, key breakout threshold)

Target Price: $15 (measured from wedge pattern, 101% gain)

Stop-Loss: below $7 would invalidate bullish structure

Meme Coin Season Approaching: Can TRUMP Lead the Rally?

While a 10x increase may not happen immediately, if Trump successfully ends the U.S. government shutdown, the token could reach $15. This conditional forecast hinges on the core logic: political events are the main drivers. Meme coins differ from traditional cryptocurrencies; their value is primarily driven by community sentiment, media attention, and influential figures, rather than technological innovation or commercial utility.

With the altcoin season approaching, meme tokens are expected to regain attention, with TRUMP potentially leading the charge. In crypto market cycles, Bitcoin usually leads the rally, followed by Ethereum and mainstream altcoins, and finally meme coins and small-cap tokens. Currently, Bitcoin hovers near $100,000, and Ethereum and other major coins are showing signs of strength, suggesting an imminent altcoin season.

Within the meme coin sector, TRUMP has unique advantages. It is directly associated with one of the most influential political figures globally, and Trump himself and his family are actively involved in crypto ventures. According to the Financial Times, the Trump family earned over $1 billion annually from crypto-related businesses, including about $427 million from TRUMP and MELANIA meme coins. This deep involvement sustains ongoing attention and potential official support for TRUMP tokens.

However, investors must recognize the highly speculative nature of TRUMP’s price forecast. Meme coin prices are extremely sensitive to social media sentiment, political news, and market speculation, with volatility far exceeding mainstream cryptocurrencies. While the $15 target is based on technical analysis, achieving it depends heavily on Trump’s political performance and overall market sentiment. Investors should only commit funds they can afford to lose entirely and set strict stop-loss levels.