Dogecoin Chart Hints At 2021-Like Rally Ahead of Alt Season

Dogecoin’s current cycle mirrors its 2021 pattern, suggesting another strong market recovery ahead.

Analyst ChandlerCharts highlights RSI alignment that often precedes major altcoin rallies.

Traders monitor $0.20 resistance, as DOGE recovery may confirm a new alt season setup.

Dogecoin (DOGE) may be setting up for a repeat of its 2021 rally, according to a new chart shared by analyst ChandlerCharts on TradingView. The visual comparison points to similar market behavior patterns forming ahead of what he refers to as another “Alt Season.” DOGE was trading near $0.165 at the time of posting.

Market Cycles Mirror Past Recoveries

The chart, covering DOGE’s price movement from 2018 to 2025, illustrates repeated cycles of recovery following bearish phases. Each previous recovery period preceded a sharp uptrend that culminated in the explosive 2021 altcoin season. The same setup appears to be forming again, suggesting the meme token might be in the early phase of a cyclical rebound.

Chandler’s chart highlights earlier cycles marked by three phases—“First Uptrend After the Bear,” “Pump Interrupted,” and “Recovery After Crash.” The 2020 rally was disrupted by COVID-19, while the 2024 cycle faced headwinds from tariff policy changes. In both instances, Dogecoin recovered strongly, leading into broader altcoin rallies. The latest phase labeled “Recovery After Crash,” may signal that another surge is building momentum.

Technical traders are paying close attention to this structure because DOGE’s RSI (Relative Strength Index) patterns also align closely with historical peaks before major price breakouts. The RSI indicator in the lower panel of Chandler’s chart shows three distinct overbought spikes preceding upward rallies.

Technical Indicators Point Toward Potential Alt Season

The RSI chart mirrors historical setups, where a low reading near the 30–40 zone preceded large upward price swings. The 2025 RSI currently shows a recovery pattern similar to those seen before previous rallies. This correlation has renewed speculation that Dogecoin could repeat its bull market rhythm if momentum is sustained through December.

ChandlerCharts referenced past points when DOGE rallies were cut short by macroeconomic shocks—first by COVID-19 disruptions and later by trade tariffs—but still recovered after each event. His caption, “I heard $DOGE holders are running low on hopium,” was shared humorously, though it sparked community optimism about a potential reversal. Traders in the replies noted that the chart’s alignment with past “Alt Season” zones may reflect an early bullish signal.

The pattern’s timing suggests that, if history rhymes, Dogecoin could experience a similar surge leading into 2026. The breakout potential depends largely on whether macroeconomic conditions and Bitcoin dominance replicate the setup seen before 2021.

Will Dogecoin Trigger Another Altcoin Cycle?

The critical question now is whether Dogecoin can maintain its momentum long enough to trigger a new wave of capital inflows across altcoins. Historically, DOGE’s surges have preceded broader market expansions, making it a key sentiment indicator for retail traders.

Community members on X echoed the sentiment that a confirmed recovery phase could mark the transition into a new cycle. However, technical confirmation would likely require DOGE to sustain moves above its $0.20 resistance range while maintaining bullish RSI divergence.

Analysts continue monitoring the coin’s structure on 3-day charts for confirmation. If the repeating pattern holds, the next major “Alt Season” could unfold by early 2026, mirroring prior historical behavior observed in 2021 and 2019.