Top analysts warn: If Bitcoin falls below $100,000, the bull run may officially come to an end!

Bitcoin (BTC) has recently pulled back significantly from its historical high of over $125,000, triggering panic in the market. Noted trader Roman stated in his latest analysis that $100,000 is the life-and-death line for the current bull run; if it falls below this level, the bull run will "officially end." However, there are also voices in the market suggesting that this might be an excellent long term Build a Position opportunity.

Roman: 100,000 USD is the last line of defense for the bull run

Key Insights:

The upward trend line and the support at $112,000 have been broken.

The 98,000-100,000 USD range is a dual psychological and technical barrier.

Fall below this range = bull run ending signal

Technical concerns:

Long term cycle shows weak top trading volume

The daily and weekly RSI shows a bearish divergence.

Roman emphasized that if the bulls cannot hold the 100,000 USD level, market sentiment will shift sharply downward, significantly increasing the risk of a structural decline.

RSI Bullish Divergence: The Hope for a Rebound Remains

(Source: Trading View)

Although the long term structure is under pressure, there are signs of hope in the short-term technical aspect:

4-hour chart: RSI shows a bullish divergence, an early signal of a potential reversal.

Trader ZYN: "If the support holds, it's entirely possible to set a new high in the next 4-6 weeks."

Sharing the weekly RSI chart, showing that the market structure remains resilient.

Market Interpretations from Different Factions

pessimists

It is believed that once 100,000 USD is breached, it will trigger panic selling.

The bull run has ended, entering a long-term consolidation or even a bear market.

Optimists

(Source: Trading View)

Michaël van de Poppe:

Acknowledge that the short-term bullish trend has been broken.

But 102,000-104,000 USD is a potential strong support.

The current stage is the "ideal phase for continuing to accumulate positions".

Historical Comparison and Current Trends

August decline: As of this writing, BTC/USD has fallen approximately 6.5% this month.

Historical comparison: Compared to the same period four years ago, the current performance is still significantly stronger.

Market sentiment: Despite the panic, some funds choose to build a position at lower prices.

2024-2025 Outlook and Strategy

Conclusion

Bitcoin is now standing before the $100,000 lifeline, and Roman's warning has left the market on edge. Although there is a possibility of a rebound brought by bullish divergence in the technicals, if key support is lost, the bull run may come to an end. For investors, this is a test of patience and risk management — holding the support is essential to have a chance at welcoming the next historical high.