How High Could Ripple Price Go When XRP ETFs Go Live?

With the Ripple vs SEC lawsuit now behind it, attention in the crypto market is turning toward the possibility of spot XRP ETFs. Supporters believe these products could not only attract billions of dollars in investment but also further cement XRP’s legal status in the United States.

Analysts and commentators have begun sharing bold predictions about where the Ripple price might head once these ETFs hit the market, and the numbers are turning heads.

Kenny Nguyen’s $20 to $50 Ripple Price Projection

In a report by TheCryptoBasic, well-known crypto commentator Kenny Nguyen shared his view on the potential impact of XRP ETFs. At the time of his comments, the XRP price was around $3.11. Nguyen said he expects the token to reach between $22 and $50 once the first wave of spot XRP ETFs launches. That would represent a jump of about 607% to over 1,500% from current levels.

If XRP did climb into that range, its market cap could land between $1.3 trillion and $3 trillion, far above the current $186 billion. Nguyen’s projection aligns with other analyses suggesting that U.S. approval of spot XRP ETFs could be one of the most important events in Ripple’s history.

ETFs allow investors to gain regulated exposure to the asset without directly holding it. This makes them especially appealing to institutions and retail traders who may be wary of managing crypto wallets or dealing with exchange risks.

Steven McClurg, CEO of Canary Capital, one of the applicants for an XRP ETF, added that XRP has an edge over Ethereum in this area because it does not offer staking rewards.

That means investors would not miss out on staking income if they chose an ETF instead of holding the asset directly. Combined with XRP’s dominance in the cross-border payments space and its strong global community, this could lead to substantial initial inflows.

Market Models Point to Significant Potential for XRP Price

According to TheCryptoBasic, McClurg believes XRP could attract $5 billion in ETF inflows during its first month. Analyst Dom has calculated that applying a 272x market cap multiplier to that figure could push XRP’s total valuation to $1.546 trillion, which works out to a price of about $26, right within Nguyen’s predicted range.

Another model compares potential XRP ETF flows to those seen with Bitcoin ETFs. If XRP captured 35% of Bitcoin ETF inflows since launch, around $16.3 billion, and a 100x multiplier was applied, the Ripple price could reach about $30.

Analysts often draw parallels between XRP’s potential and Bitcoin’s performance after its ETF launch in January 2024. Bitcoin initially dipped on launch day but then rallied to new all-time highs above $100,000 within the year as ETFs accumulated over 1 million BTC.As a result,…

— TheCryptoBasic (@thecryptobasic) August 15, 2025

A more cautious projection using just 15% of Bitcoin ETF inflows, or $5.85 billion, would put XRP at roughly $12.23. A middle-ground scenario, using 30% of BTC ETF inflows, could lift XRP to about $22.20, which is right at the lower bound of Nguyen’s forecast.

These calculations suggest that even under conservative scenarios, the XRP price could see a major re-rating if ETF approval goes through and early adoption is strong.

ETF Approval Odds and How Ripple Price Could React

Historical comparisons also play a role in the discussion. Analysts often point to Bitcoin’s performance after its own ETF launch in January 2024. While Bitcoin dipped on launch day, it quickly recovered and later surged past $100,000 within the same year as ETF products accumulated more than 1 million BTC.

TheCryptoBasic notes that XRP could follow a similar path, though it may also forge its own trajectory. Ethereum’s ETFs, for example, have yet to push ETH past its previous all-time high, showing that outcomes can vary. Still, optimism around XRP’s chances is growing.

Read Also: $HBAR to $10? The Truth About Hedera’s Explosive Real-World Adoption

Bloomberg ETF analysts now put the probability of approval at 95%, while prediction market Polymarket lists the odds between 80% and 88% for 2025.

Major asset managers including 21Shares, Bitwise, Franklin Templeton, Grayscale, and WisdomTree have already filed applications. The SEC is reviewing these filings, with a decision deadline in October. If approval comes, XRP could be set for one of its most pivotal moments yet, and the Ripple price could finally test levels that supporters have long been waiting for.

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The post How High Could Ripple Price Go When XRP ETFs Go Live? appeared first on CaptainAltcoin.

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