Ripple Price Prediction: XRP Whale Outflows Raise Concerns, $3 Support Level at Risk

Due to the price hovering above $3, XRP faces tremendous selling pressure from Whales, raising concerns about the sustainability of the upward trend. According to data from CryptoQuant, large Wallets have been withdrawing an average of $28 million worth of XRP daily over the past 90 days—indicating that despite a recent recovery, the distribution phase is still ongoing. This Whales outflow activity casts a shadow over XRP's short-term price movement, putting the $3 support level to a severe test.

XRP Whale Outflow: Selling Pressure of Historical Repetition

(Source: CryptoQuant)

CryptoQuant analyst JA Maartunn stated that after a brief recovery of Whale capital flow in May and June, it has turned from positive to negative. This trend is similar to the behavior observed in February 2025, when XRP recorded a daily outflow of up to $64 million, leading to a deep price correction.

The phenomenon of this Whale dumping at local highs is repeating itself. While the price is rising, the on-chain momentum is weakening, indicating a lack of consensus between price behavior and smart money flows. This suggests that despite the recovery in XRP price, large holders are choosing to take profits or adjust their positions at this time, rather than continuing to be optimistic about its short-term pump potential.

It is worth noting that Chris Larsen, co-founder of Ripple, recently transferred $140 million worth of XRP to an exchange after the price of XRP peaked at $3.65. According to on-chain data, Larsen still holds approximately 2.81 billion XRP (worth about $8.4 billion), raising concerns about the centralization of XRP and potential insider market manipulation.

3 Dollar support level facing risks: Market purchasing power insufficient

Today (30th), during the Asian session, the XRP price is hovering between 3.10 USD and 3.15 USD. However, the continued capital outflow indicates that the dumping pressure from Whales shows no signs of weakening. If this trend continues, the 3 USD support level may be breached, which has previously led to a pullback period.

Contrary to the expectation of a breakout above 3.66 USD, current data indicates that the market may lack sufficient buying power to absorb the Whale's dumping. Without new capital inflows, XRP is likely to enter a consolidation or downturn phase.

Conclusion:

The short-term trend of XRP is weak. Although the price remains high, the whale dumping indicates that the selling pressure may be accelerating. Investors should closely monitor large capital inflows and act cautiously before confirming a sustained upward trend. The $3 support level will be key for XRP to hold in the short term; once it breaks, it could trigger a deeper correction.